After having typically appeared in the hallowed pages of Baseball Think Factory, Dan Szymborski’s ZiPS projections have now been released at FanGraphs for eight years. The exercise continues this offseason. Below are the projections for the Milwaukee Brewers.
There’s been quite a bit of turnover in the Brewers’ starting lineup, but the team has avoided opening any serious holes.
ZiPS was a fan of Orlando Arcia, but it’s hard to avoid the fact that he’s backslid developmentally at ages when he should have been breaking out. Even worse than not improving offensively, Arcia is probably a worse hitter than he was two years ago. Add to that that his glove hasn’t matched up to his minor league reputation, and good on the Brewers for seemingly moving on to Luis Urías, who ought to be a significant improvement.
There will need to be a fair amount of juggling at left field and first base, with Ryan Braun getting a lot of playing time at both positions, though the exact mix is unknown at this point. Lorenzo Cain is at an age when serious decline becomes a significant risk every year, but as long as his defense and high BABIP survive, he won’t lose…