The fate of the 2020 Mets revolves heavily now around rebounds and rehabs. Perhaps no team has a wider variance of who they could be next season.
Jed Lowrie has become a punch line and still might be traded, but he was an All-Star in 2018 before hardly playing last year. Yoenis Cespedes — cue the punch line again — is predicting at least 40 homers next season, and would you absolutely bet against 30 if he is able to play regularly, considering his talent and motivation to recoup lost dollars?
There is a Cy Young in Rick Porcello’s recent past and excellence in Michael Wacha’s.
But the Mets probably would have made the playoffs last year if their pen were strong even with little from Lowrie, nothing from Cespedes, and Porcello and Wacha on other teams. And the distance from condemned to contending for the 2020 Mets again is going to be dictated by a pen that only grew greater in divergent possibilities with the Christmas Eve signing of Dellin Betances.
In 2018, Edwin Diaz, Jeurys Familia and Betances were three of the top 19 relievers by Wins Above Replacement (FanGraphs), combining for 209 games, 212 innings, a .188 batting average against, a 37.7 strikeout…